Emerging market economies appear to be exposed to the border adjustment tax (BAT) policies proposed by U.S. politicians ahead of a crucial window for major tax reform, according to a team of analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BofA).
"We are perplexed at how casually (the) consensus predicts a 25 percent U.S. dollar rally if a 20 percent Border Adjustment Tax (BAT) is passed," a team of analysts at BofA said in a note published Wednesday.
However, several large retailers have criticized BAT and argue the tax on lower-cost imported items could be passed on to consumers.
Market expectations, should the tax reforms be implemented before the summer, are for the U.S. dollar to appreciate by around 15-25 percent.
U.S. President Donald Trump has long-advocated plans to lower tax rates for U.S. businesses and Republicans in the House of Representatives have since proposed the implementation of a 20 percent levy.
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